马铃薯市场研究进展及展望

Research Progress and Prospect of Potato Market

从自然、经济、社会等方面概述了现有研究中影响马铃薯供给和需求的主要因素以及目前马铃薯市场预测的主要方法,总结了目前的研究进展与局限,展望了未来的研究重点。当前马铃薯市场方面的研究主要集中在现状分析、问题对策和走势预测方面;供求影响因素方面的研究主要集中在生产供给方面,消费需求影响因素方面研究较少,且鲜有关于市场供求影响因素的综合研究;市场预测预警方面的研究相对薄弱;研究方法多定性分析,模型建立较为单一。未来马铃薯市场研究,应不断创新研究视角,从马铃薯市场的微观视角、具体问题切入研究;拓展研究内容,加强对马铃薯供求关系和市场价格的预测预警研究;改进研究方法,构建同时包含供给和需求的系统模型对马铃薯市场供求展开动态研究。

The main influencing factors of potato market supply and demand from natural factor,economic factor,social factor and so on and the main forecast method of the potato market were summarized,research status andlimitation were outlined,and future research direction was prospected.Present research on potato market mainlyconcentrated in status analysis,problem and countermeasures and trend prediction.Research on potato market supplyand demand mainly focused on the influencing factors of market supply;few research was about the influencing factorsof market demand,and less research studied the factors of market supply or market demand at the same time.Research on market forecast and early warning was relatively weak.Research method was mainly qualitative analysisor quantitative analysis with common models.In future potato market will be researched from innovating studyperspective from microcosmic angle and specific problem,enriching research content by forecast and early warning ofpotato market,and improving research method by an ideal system model that includes both demand and supply ofpotato market.