丝绸之路经济带跨境经贸合作对人民币区域化的影响研究——基于中国与哈萨克斯坦相关数据的检验

The Impact of Silk Road Economic Belt Trade Cooperation with RMB Regionalization: Based on China and Kazakhstan Data

丝绸之路经济带与人民币国际化是21世纪中国最重要的国家战略,如何通过丝绸之路经济带战略推动人民币国际化是一项重要课题。由于人民币区域化是人民币国际化的必由路径,以丝绸之路经济带人民币区域化为切入点,以中国与哈萨克斯坦作为研究样本,从理论与实证角度分析丝绸之路经济带经贸合作对人民币区域化的影响。研究结果表明:进出口贸易、直接投资、人民币币值稳定对人民币区域化具有显著影响;而经济总量扩大、经济与金融自由度提升对人民币区域化的影响不显著。对此,需要继续加强中国与丝绸之路经济带沿线国家经贸合作、扩大直接投资、维护币值稳定,同时不断增强中国经济的内在实力,循序渐进地推进开放资本项目。

Silk Road Economic Belt and RMB internationalization are the most important national strategies for China in the21st century,how to promote RMB internationalization under Silk Road Economic Belt strategy is an important issue.As the RMB regionalization is RMB internationalization’srealistic choice and critical step,this paper focuses on RMB regionalization under Silk Road Economic Belt strategy,analyzes the influence of Silk Road Economic Belt trade and economic cooperation on RMB regionalization,based on China and Kazakhstan data.The results show that:the import and export,direct investment,currency stable have a significant impact on the RMB regionalization;and the expansion of total economy,economic freedom does not significantly promote RMB regionalization.Therefore,we need to strengthen economic and trade cooperation among China and the countries along the Silk Road economic belt,expand direct investment,maintain currency stability,and enhance China’s economic strength,promote the liberalization of capital account step by step.