供给侧改革与经济增长:理论阐释、稳态预测及国外经验

Supply Side Reform and Economic Growth:Theoretical Interpretation, Steady State Prediction and Foreign Experiences

无论从理论分析还是从经验证据上看,通过供给侧改革,我国经济会有很大的增长空间且具有持续性,直至达到稳态增长。我国所要实施的供给侧改革与西方供给学派主张及西方实践虽有不同之处,不能照搬照抄,但有必要借鉴国外成功经验,尤其在制造业、农业与房地产业等供给侧改革的重点领域,以提高改革成效。

Either from theoretical analysis or from foreign empirical evidence,China's economy will have a lot of room for growth andsustainability,and will finally achieve its steady growth,once supply side reform is carried out productively.China's supply side reform has a lotof difference from the idea of western supply school and western practice,and we cannot copy,but we really need to learn from the foreignsuccessful experiences,especially in the key areas of supply side reform such as manufacturing,agriculture and real estate,to improve theeffectiveness of supply side reform.