农业科技创新投入对新农村经济发展影响的研究——以杭州为例

Influence of agricultural science and technology innovation investment on new rural economic development:Taking Hangzhou as an example

农业科技创新是推进农村经济和现代农业的主要支撑力,农业科技创新投入对新农村经济发展具有重要影响。文章运用因子分析法对新农村经济发展指标进行降维提取,得到2个新农村经济发展主成分因子,同时运用皮尔逊相关分析法,对农业科技创新投入、新农村经济发展综合指标及具体指标进行相关性检验。结果表明:(1)农业科技投入与新农村经济的产出和投入水平,以及农民的生活水平呈显著正相关;(2)农业科技创新投入与人均农渔牧林产值、农村固定资产投资、乡村消费品零售额、农村居民人均可支配收入在99%的置信水平上呈正相关,且相关系数均在0.85以上;与人均粮食产量、人均棉花产量在99%的置信水平上呈负相关,且相关系数也在0.85以上;与人均油菜籽产量、人均淡水产品产量、农业机械总动力相关性不显著。综合分析认为,农业科技创新投入的增加将促进新农村经济发展,提高农民生活水平。最后,从完善政策制度、加大资金投入和智力投入、引导投融资发展、鼓励创新创业等方面提出对策建议,促进新农村经济发展。

Agricultural science and technology innovation was the main supporting force to promote rural economy and modern agriculture,it had very important influence on the new rural economic development.The factor analysis method was used to extract the new rural economic indicators by dimensionality reduction,and get two principal component factors of new rural economic development were obtained.Then,correlation between agricultural science and technology innovation input,the new rural economic development comprehensive index and specific index were tested using Pearson correlation analysis.The results showed that:(1)Investment of agricultural science and technology innovation was positively correlated with the new rural economic output and input level,the living level of farmers significantly.(2)Investment of agricultural science and technology innovation was positively correlated with the per capita of farming,forestry,animal husbandry and fishery output value,rural fixed assets investment,rural retail sales of consumer goods,per capita disposable income of rural residents at99%confidence level by each other,the correlation coefficients were all above085;while,it was negatively correlated with per capita grain,per capita cotton at99%confidence level by each other,and the correlation coefficients were all above085.There was no significant correlation between investment of agricultural science and technology innovation and per capita rapeseed,per capita freshwater production,total power of agricultural machinery.In conclusion,the increase of investment of agricultural science and technology innovation would promote the development of new rural economy and improve the living standards of farmers.Finally,some countermeasures and suggestions were put forward to promote the development of the new rural economy from the aspects of perfecting the policy system,increasing the investment of capital and intelligence,guiding the development of investment and financing and encouraging innovation and entrepreneurship.