城镇化与收入结构的相关效应研究——基于陕西省的实证分析

Correlation Effect of Urbanization and Income Structure——Based on an Empirical Analysis of Shanxi Province

利用1990—2015年陕西省城镇化率及城乡居民收入结构等统计数据,以城乡居民收入多元化为基本假定,采用灰色关联分析法和时间序列模型,分析了城镇化水平与收入结构的关联效应。结果表明:第一,随着城镇化水平的提升,城乡居民收入差距呈现波动性变化特征。第二,城镇化对城市居民收入影响的大小为:转移性收入>工资性收入>经营性收入>财产性收入;对农村居民收入影响的大小为:经营性收入>工资性收入>转移性收入>财产性收入;对城乡居民收入差距影响的大小为:财产性收入差距>工资性收入差距>经营性收入差距>转移性收入差距。第三,城市居民工资性收入和转移性收入是城镇化发展的主要动力,农村居民工资性收入和经营性收入是主要动力,城乡居民转移性收入差距对城镇化有一定促进作用。

This article,with statistical data of urbanization rate and urban and rural residents’income structure of Shanxi Province from1990to2015,based on the basic assumption of urban and rural residents’income diversification,studies the correlation effects between urbanization level and income structure using grey correlation analysis and time series model.The results are as follows.Firstly,the fluctuation change is proved between urbanization rate and urban and rural residents’income disparity.Secondly,the impacts of urbanization on urban residents’income are as follows:transfer income>wage income>operating income>property income.The impacts of urbanization on rural residents’income are as follows:operating income>wage income>transfer income>property income.The impacts of urbanization on urban and rural residents’income disparity are as follows:property income disparity>wage income disparity>operating income disparity>transfer income disparity.Thirdly,urban residents’wage income and operating income are main driving force of urbanization while rural residents’wage income and operating income are main driving force of urbanization,and urban and rural residents’transfer income disparity plays a role in promoting urbanization.