供给侧结构性与周期性问题关联研究

A Study on the Relationship between Structural and Periodic Problems of Supply Side

自2015年11月中央部署供给侧结构性改革战略以来,历经近2年的改革实践,供给侧结构性改革进入新的突破、深化与发展阶段。《供给侧结构性改革发展脉络与经验分析》一文提出,经济减速在世界范围内都不是短暂与偶然的现象,我国本轮经济增速变缓主要原因在于经济结构滞后、发展动力衰减。如何适应这种速度换挡,深刻认识速度背后的结构与发展质量变化,正是供给侧结构性改革所聚焦的问题。《供给侧结构性改革与需求侧管理协同研究》一文认为,我国当前同时面临着消费需求不足和供给相对过剩的双重问题,加之创新性供给又严重缺位,我国经济出现的供需新问题需要通过新方法才能解决,即实行需求管理与供给管理相结合的新方略。《供给侧结构性与周期性问题关联研究》一文提出,为了实现我国经济在长期波动中的相对稳定,需要适时进行产业结构调整与升级,降低对外在干预平抑经济波动的依赖,实现经济增长方式的转变。与此同时,在调控方式方面,要从以总量增长为目标转向以结构调整为目标,为平抑经济周期波动奠定稳定增长的基础。《供给侧深度改革与经济结构重塑》一文认为,在实施了近2年的供给侧结构性改革之后,我国经济正以实现健康的中长期发展为主线,致力于经济结构优化与调整,借助制定与实施相关政策达到需求与供给的新均衡。总之,供给侧结构性改革已经进入深水区。我们期望通过本组专题的讨论,在总结辉煌成绩的基础上为未来的改革方向提供一些参考性建议,喜迎党的十九大。

Since the central deployment of the supply-side structural reform strategy in November 2015,through nearly two years of reform and practice,supply-side reform has entered a new breakthrough,deepeningand development stage. The economic deceleration is not a temporary and accidental phenomenon in the world,according to the article on the development of supply-side structural reform. The economic slowdown in Chinalags main reason lies in the economic structure,the development of power attenuation,how to adapt to thiskind of speed change gear,a deep understanding of the structure and development quality change speedbehind,is the focus problem supply side structural reforms. Reform of the supply side and demand side management synergy research article believes that the current at the same time facing the dual problem ofinsufficient consumer demand and supply are relatively surplus,coupled with innovative and serious lack ofsupply,demand supply and demand of the new problems of our country's economy to a new way to solve it. Anew strategy combining demand management and supply management. Structural and cyclical supply side problems associated research is put forward,in order to realize our country's economy in the long-termfluctuations in the relative stabilization of the need for timely adjustment and upgrading of industrial structure,reduce the bring down the economic fluctuations depend on external intervention,to realize the change ofeconomic growth pattern. At the same time,in the way of regulation,we should shift from the target ofaggregate growth to the target of structural adjustment,laying the foundation for steady growth of the economiccycle. Supply side deep reform and reshape the economic structure is that after two years in the implementation ofthe supply side of structure performance after the reform,the economy is to achieve long-term healthydevelopment of our country as the main line,is committed to economic structure optimization and adjustment,develop and implement the related policy to achieve the balance of demand and supply. All in all,supply sidestructural reform has entered into deep waters,we expect through discussion of this project,on the basis ofsummarizing the accomplishments provides some references for the future reform direction,celebrate the party's 19.