上海城市适应气候变化关键技术研究进展

Progress of Key Technologies for Climate Change Adaptation in Shanghai Urban

以上海为例,围绕如何提高城市适应气候变化能力问题,从百年监测诊断和统计动力降尺度预估等气候监测预估技术,针对防汛、农业和能源消耗的城市气候变化重点领域影响评估技术,面向基础设施、城市弹性及适应性措施评价的城市气候风险评估决策支持技术三个方面,系统地分析和总结了上海在城市适应气候变化关键技术研发方面的创新成效,并提出城市适应气候变化未来可能的发展方向,以期为今后中国其他城市适应气候变化研究和行动方案制定提供理论依据和技术支撑。

This work sets Shanghai as a demonstration to address on the issues that how to improve climate change adaptation.We focus on three aspects in terms of climate monitoring(diagnostic analysis of more than100years’observation data)and prediction technique(statistical and dynamic downscaling method),climate change assessment technique(for flood,agriculture and energy)and urban climate risk assessment decision support technique(including the urban climate disaster and infrastructure risk assessment tool,RDM method and urban simulator).It analyzes and summarize the innovation of core techniques on urban climate change adaptation and proposes direction of future development in order to provide theoretical basis and technical support for other cities'implementation of climate change research and action plan.