高职教育与本科教育对江苏经济增长贡献的比较研究

Comparative Study on the Contribution of Higher Vocational Education and Undergraduate Education to Jiangsu's Economic Growth

基于高职教育与经济增长的理论辨析,采用主成分分析法,就高职教育与本科教育对江苏经济增长、三次产业发展贡献进行比较,研究表明高职教育在对第二产业发展贡献上已经超越本科教育,在对整体经济增长贡献、第一产业和第三产业发展贡献上则要低于本科教育;灰色模型分析表明,研发经费投入和产业从业人员增长是高职教育人才需求增长的主要动力,产业从业人员和对外贸易增长是本科教育人才需求增长的主要动因;进一步借助灰色模型就社会对高职教育和本科教育人才需求进行预测,分析表明未来社会对高职教育人才需求将大于本科教育,高职教育将成为江苏经济发展的重要推动力。

Based the theory of higher vocational education and economic growth and using principal component analysis to campared the contribution of higher vocational education and undergraduate education to the economic growth of Jiangsu and three industries.Research shows that the contribution to the development of the second industry from higher vocational education has surpassed one’s from undergraduate education,but the contribution of higher vocational education to overall economic growth,the first industry development and the third industry development is lower than one’s from the undergraduate education.Grey model analysis showed that the growth of investment of research and industry employment is the main driving force of demand growth to talents of higher vocational education,meanwhile the growth of industry practitioners and foreign trade growth is the main reason for demand growth to the talents of undergraduate education;Further using grey model to predict the social talent demand for vocational education and undergraduate education,the analysis shows that the demand of the future society for higher vocational education talents will be greater than one’s of undergraduate education,and higher vocational education Education will become an important driving force for Jiangsu's economic development.