成都市旅游业对地区经济发展拉动效应分析

Study on the Pulling Effect of Tourism Economy on Regional Economic Developmentin Chengdu

在成都市"十三五"规划中提出要打造"世界旅游目的地城市",以及成都市作为新晋的"新一线城市"的大背景下。通过对拉动效应以及和省内其他旅游强市的对比分析,得到以下结论:2007—2016年,成都市旅游业对地区经济发展拉动效应逐步明显,并通过GM(1,1)预测,发现成都市旅游业拉动效应将持续增强;其次,通过与武汉市、广州市、杭州市和南京市的比较分析,可知2007—2016年,成都市旅游业在依存度和拉动率上优势不明显,在旅游业贡献率上拥有相对优势。

“Creating a world tourist destination city”was proposed in the“13th Five-Year Plan”of Chengdu.And the city of Chengdu became the“new first-tier cities”.In this context,an comparative analysis was made in this paper on the pulling effect and other strong tourist city,and some conclusions were obtained as following:firstly,the pulling effect of tourism economy on regional economic development in Chengdu is gradually obvious from2007to2016,and it is found that the pulling effect of tourism in Chengdu will continue to increase through GM(1,1);Secondly,through the comparison with Wuhan,Guangzhou,Hangzhou and Nanjing,it is found that the advantages of Chengdu Tourism in degree of dependence and pulling rate are not obvious,but the contribution rate of tourism has a comparative advantage.