中国水貂皮价格波动及影响因素研究

Research of Fluctuations and Influential Factors for Mink in China

通过H-P滤波法分析中国水貂皮价格波动,表明中国水貂皮价格呈现波动频率高、振幅大;运用因子分析法对影响水貂皮价格的因素实证分析,表明皮革和毛皮产业固定投资、毛皮和人造毛皮及其制品进口额、高收入群体收入水平、人民币对美元汇率、毛皮和人造毛皮及其制品出口额与国内水貂皮价格的相关性较高,渔业产品生产价格指数和貉子皮价格的相关性次之。

The price of mink in our country is characterized by high-frequency fluctuations and large amplitude according to the results analyzed by Hodrick-Prescott filter.Factor analysis method is used to make empirical analysis of the influence factors on the price of mink.The results show that there is a high correlation between domestic price of mink and factors like fixed investment in leather and fur industry,amounts of imports of fur and artificial fur and their products,income level of high-income group,RMB exchange rate against US dollar,amounts of exports of fur and artificial fur and their products,besides,producer price index of fishing products takes the second place.