智慧城市功能风险评估模型构建及应用研究

Research on Functional Risk Assessment Model of Smart City and Its Application

[目的/意义]智慧城市具有自我学习、优化运行、预测预警和安全防护等主要功能,通过评估智慧城市功能风险,为有效且积极的应对风险提供理论指导。[方法/过程]按照风险管理理论,通过对智慧城市功能风险分析、指标设计、评估模型设计等,构建评价指标体系,并基于风险概率特征,采用三点法确定风险概率,运用直觉模糊集理论和理想点法进行风险的综合评估,进而提出风险应对策略。[结果/结论]构建了13个智慧城市功能风险评价指标,通过实证研究提出了相关智慧城市的功能风险应对策略。

[Purpose/Significance]Smart city has the main functions of self-learning,optimizing operation,forecasting,warning and security protection.This paper provides theoretical guidance for effective and positive risk response by evaluating the functional risk of smart city.[Method/Process]According to the theory of risk management,the evaluation index system is constructed through the functional risk analysis,index design,evaluation model design and so on.And based on the characteristics of risk probability,the three point method is used to determine the risk probability.The intuitionistic fuzzy set theory and the ideal point method are used to evaluate the risk comprehensively,and then the risk response strategy is put forward.[Result/Conclusion]This paper constructs 13 intelligent city functional risk assessment indicators,and through empirical research,proposes the relevant smart city functional risk coping strategies.