农户机插秧选择行为及其影响因素分析——基于环节成本视角和江苏水稻主产区调研数据

Analysis on farmers' selection behavior of mechanized-transplantation and its influencing factors:Based on the perspective of link cost and survey data of main rice producing area in Jiangsu

基于2017年江苏省水稻主产区的农户调查数据,从环节成本视角选取解释变量,设置家庭禀赋、市场因素、水稻收益、政府扶持力度等控制变量,采用Probit模型对农户机插秧选择行为进行分析,结果表明:上期水稻栽种环节的种子成本、除草环节的除草剂和人工成本以及病虫害防治环节的人工成本等解释变量具有显著正向影响,而机插秧服务价格具有显著负向影响。各环节成本影响效应差异明显,平均边际效应由大到小依次为上期人工除草成本、人工打药成本、除草剂成本、种子成本。另外,农业雇工价格、水稻经营面积、政府补贴以及本村机插秧服务等控制变量对农户机插秧的选择有显著正向影响。

Based on the survey data of the main rice production areas in Jiangsu province in 2017,selecting the explanatory variables from the perspective of the link cost,choosing family endowments,market factors,farmers'rice income and government support as control variables,this paper analyzes the selection behavior of mechanizedtransplantation with Probit model.The results show that the seed cost,herbicide,labor cost of weeding and pest control have significant positive influence on farmers’choice behavior,while the service price of mechanized-transplantation has significant negative impact on the choice behavior.The effect difference of link cost is obvious,and the average marginal effect is in turn from large to small the labor weeding cost,labor cost of pest control,cost of herbicide and seed in last phase.In addition,agricultural labor price,rice planting area,government subsidies and the village providing transplanting service have significant positive influence on farmers’machine transplanting selection.