产业结构合理化、高级化与城市空间扩展

Industrial Structure Rationalization,Upgrading and Urban Spatial Expansion

文章基于中国大陆1998-2015年的分省数据,从产业结构合理化与产业结构高级化两个维度,就产业结构变迁对城市空间扩展的影响进行实证检验。研究表明:产业结构变迁是驱动中国城市空间扩展的核心因素,产业结构合理化有助于解释城市空间扩展,产业结构高级化对城市空间扩展有显著正向影响,产业结构高级化对城市空间扩展的解释力要大于产业结构合理化;城市空间具有自我成长惯性,当期城市空间扩展对下期有显著正向影响,产业结构合理化、高级化对城市空间扩展的影响强度存在区域差异;政府公共品供给、气候舒适度对城市空间扩展有解释力,中东部地区人口规模在驱动城市空间扩展,人口规模对西部城市空间扩展的作用却并不明显。

Based on the provincial data in China's Mainland from 1998 to 2015,this paper makes an empirical test on the impact of industrial structure change on urban spatial expansion,from the two dimensions of industrial structure rationalization and industrial structure upgrading.The study shows that:The change of industrial structure is the core factor to drive the urban spatial expansion in China,and the rationalization of industrial structure helps to explain the expansion of urban space,the upgrading of the industrial structure has a significant positive impact on the urban spatial expansion.The urban space has a self-growth inertia,the current urban spatial expansion has a significant positive impact on the next period,the impacts of the rationalization and upgrading of industrial structure on the urban spatial expansion have regional differences.The supply of government public goods and climate comfort have an explanatory power to the urban spatial expansion.The population size in the eastern and central regions is obvious in driving the expansion of urban space,whereas it is not obvious in driving the expansion of urban space in western China.