基于WSR-熵值-耦合方法的区域水资源承载力研究——以京津冀地区为例

Comprehensive Evaluation of the Water Resource Carrying Capacity of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region Based on "WSR-Entropy-Coupling-Coordinative Degree"

在对影响水资源承载力的生态、技术、社会经济三个内涵研究基础上,基于"物理-事理-人理"方法论(WSR)构建起水资源承载力的评价体系,并通过熵值法和耦合协调度,构建起"WSR-熵值-耦合"的研究方法,应用于2006-2015年京津冀地区水资源承载力的综合评价。研究结果表明:京津冀地区水资源承载力总体上呈上升发展态势,偶和协调度水平整体上呈稳步上升的态势,进入到良性协调发展阶段。三个地区的"污染物"、"技术管理"、"使用消费"三个子系统的发展状况,除"使用消费"三个地区整体上稳步上升外,其他两个子系统各地区波动较大。

In the three studies on the connotation of ecological,social and economic basis of technology,we have studied the impact on water resources carrying capacity based on the"Wuli-Shili-Renli"methodology(WSR)to build up the water resources carrying capacity evaluation system.At the same time,we have built"WSR-entropy-coupling research the method through the entropy method and the coupling coordination to apply to the comprehensive assessment of 2006 water resources carrying capacity of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region in 2015.The results show that the overall carrying capacity of water resources in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is on the rise,and the level of coordination and coordination shows a steady upward trend.The development of three sub systems of pollutants in three regions,technology management and consumption is increasing steadily,except for the three regions that consume consumption.The other two subsystems fluctuate greatly.