中国居民低碳意识与经济增长关系的省域差异分析

Provincial Differences Analysis on Relationship between Chinese Residents' Low Carbon Awareness and Economic Growth

利用环境库兹涅茨曲线(Environmental Kuznets Curve,EKC)模型对中国30个省市的居民生活能源消费和经济增长之间的关系进行分析,以此研究不同省市的居民低碳意识现状与发展趋势,通过引入居民年龄结构效应、收入水平效应因素,扩展了对数平均迪氏指数分解方法(LMDI)模型,并对居民生活能源消费进行了分解。研究结果表明:30个省市中,12个省市的EKC曲线呈现"倒U型",7个省市的EKC曲线呈现"U型",10个省市的EKC曲线是斜率为正数的直线,宁夏回族自治区不存在EKC曲线;经济发达是居民低碳意识较强的必要条件却不是充分条件;收入水平效应对居民生活能源消费增长的贡献最大,而居民年龄结构效应的贡献接近于零。

In order to study residents′low carbon awareness current situation and development trend,this paper analyzes the relationship between residents′residential energy consumption and economic growth in different provinces by using Environmental Kuznets Curve(EKC)model.It expands Logarithmic Mean Decomposition Index(LMDI)method through introducing factors of residents'age structure and income level,and decomposes residential energy consumption.The result shows that:12 provinces′EKC show inverted“U”curve,7 provinces′show“U”,10 provinces′are the positive slope line,Ningxia does not exist EKC curve;advanced economies is necessary condition for people to have stronger low carbon awareness but not sufficient condition;the effect of income level on the growth of residents'living energy consumption is the largest,while the contribution of residents'age structure effect is close to zero.