我国能源生产总量组合预测研究

Combination Forecasting Research of the Total Energy Production in China Based on IOWGA Operator

围绕我国2005-2014年的能源生产总量数据,利用最小组合预测模型预测未来三年我国能源生产总量.研究结果表明,组合预测模型的误差小于单项预测,能准确预测未来三年我国能源生产总量的上涨趋势和增长率.

Based on the total energy output data of China in the past 2005 2014 years,the minimum combined forecasting model is used to predict the total energy production in the next three years.The results show that the error of the combination forecasting model is less than the single prediction,and it can accurately predict the rising trend and growth rate of China's energy production in the next three years.