不确定CTO系统订单承诺决策研究

Research on Order Promise Decision Under Uncertain CTO System

CTO系统中,受不确定因素影响,订单接受率、订单承诺可靠性、准确性不高。为解决此问题,首先,分析不确定因素对订单承诺的影响,构建基于可承诺量/可承诺能力的订单承诺流程。然后,建立了随机相关机会规划订单承诺模型。最后,将模型和算法应用于某整车生产企业,提升了订单接受率、订单承诺可靠性和准确性。

Under the influence of the uncertain factors,the order acceptance rate,the reliability and the accuracy of the order promise are often not high in CTO system.To improve the decision-making problem,based on the analysis of the influence of uncertain factors on the order promise,we should build an order promise process based on the Available-to-Promise/Capable-to-Promise.Then,an order promise model of random correlation opportunity planning is established.Finally,the model and algorithm are applied to a vehicle production enterprise to enhance the order acceptance rate,reliability and accuracy of order promise.