摘要
本文援用2003-2016年我国对"一带一路"沿线国家直接投资和进出口面板数据,尝试从我国资本"走出去"的角度分析"一带一路"经贸互通的推进情况。实证检验后发现,我国进入"一带一路"沿线国家的直接投资对提升我国与其双边贸易有十分明显的正向效应,有利于促进我国与"一带一路"沿线国家的"贸易畅通"。其中,进入东盟、南亚、中亚和独联体的直接投资对提升我国与其双边贸易有明显的正向效应。由于直接投资的行业分类和出口的行业分类不相匹配,我国对西亚直接投资与出口的关系未得到有意义的检验结果。
The paper builds panel data of direct investment,imports and exports of China to OBOR countries,and analyzes outward investment and trade links between OBOR countries.We find empirical evidence that OFDI of China to OBOR countries has critical positive effect on China's exports to OBOR countries,which promotes trade links between China and OBOR countries.Further,OFDI to ASEAN,South Asia,and CIS countries has significant positive effect on China's export to these countries.OFDI to West Asia finds insignificant relationship with Exports to them,due to disparity between industries of OFDI and exports.
作者
徐赟
Xu Yun(Institute of Applied Economics,Shanghai Academy of Social Science,Shanghai 200020)
出处
《上海经济》
CSSCI
2018年第2期117-129,共13页
Shanghai Economy
基金
教育部青年基金项目:国内外价值链演变机制的研究(项目号:15YJC790120)
