我国蔬菜价格走势及其波动规律分析

Analysis of the trend of vegetable price and its fluctuation in China

为探究我国蔬菜市场价格走势及其内在波动规律,利用统计分析方法分析大白菜、黄瓜、西红柿、菜椒和四季豆5种蔬菜的近10年历史数据,结果表明:我国蔬菜价格整体呈现出波动上升走势,且具有明显的季节性波动,其中黄瓜、西红柿、菜椒和四季豆4种蔬菜价格是夏季低和冬季高,而大白菜则相反;5种蔬菜价格有升有跌,增长率大致均匀分布在正负区间内,且总体为正。最后,为了稳定蔬菜市场价格,提出了相关政策建议,以期能够为政府管理和相关部门提供重要参考与借鉴。

Based on the data of cabbage,cucumber,tomato,pepper and green beans for nearly ten year,the statistical analysis method was used to analyze the trend of vegetable price and its fluctuation in China.The results indicated that the overall price of vegetables showed a rising trend,and has obvious seasonal fluctuations.Prices of cucumber,tomato,pepper and green beans are low in summer and high in winter,while cucumber is the opposite.5 kinds of vegetable prices have gone up or down,and the growth rate is roughly evenly distributed in the positive and negative interval.Finally,in order to stabilize the market price of vegetables,the relevant policy recommendations were put forward.The results of the study can provide an important reference for government management and related departments.