科学计量学的不确定性研究

A Research on the Uncertainty of Scientometrics

[目的/意义]随着科学计量学的兴起及应用的越来越广泛,存在很多科学计量学的滥用现象。科学计量学不确定性的研究有助于从认识论的角度反思计量数据、指标、方法的使用,促使科学计量学的规范应用。[方法/过程]在明确科学计量学不确定性的含义、对相关研究进行综述的基础上,从有偏样本、精心挑选的平均数、无意义的工作等7个角度分析科学计量学不确定性发生的原因及典型案例,并提出避免不确定性的几点措施。[结果/结论]应加强对科学计量学工作的思考,促使其向规范化应用的方向发展。

[Purpose/Significance]With the rise and widely use of scientometrics,there are many abuses of scientometrics.A research on the uncertainty of scientometrics would contribute to rethink the use of measurement data,indicators and methods from the perspective of epistemology and to promote the normative use of scientometrics.[Methods/Process]Based on the clarification of the meaning of scientometrics'uncertainty and review of related research,the paper analyzes the causes and typical cases of the uncertainty of scientometrics from several aspects such as biased samples,carefully selected averages and meaningless work.Several measures to avoid uncertainty are proposed.[Result/Conclusion]The thinking on scientometrics should be strengthened aiming to promote the standardized application of scientometrics.