“一带一路”背景下垂直专业化分工福利效应分析

Analysis on Welfare Effects of Vertical Specialization Division under the Background of “The Belt and Road Initiative”

"一带一路"是新时期我国构建新型外部国际关系、实现内部产业升级、保证经济稳步增长的重要倡议。基于"一带一路"沿线66个国家的跨国贸易面板数据,本文实证分析并考察了国际贸易垂直专业化分工不同水平国家的综合福利异同。结果显示,国际垂直专业化分工中,发达国家获得的福利显著高于发展中国家,但与传统贸易模式相比,这种差异要小得多。

“The Belt and Road Initiative”is an important initiative for China in the new era to construct new international relations,achieve industrial upgrading and ensure steady growth of economy.Based on international trade panel data of 66 countries along"the Belt and Road”,this paper analyzes and investigates the similarities and differences of comprehensive welfare in countries of international trade and vertical specialization division at different levels.The results show that the welfare got by developed countries is significantly higher than that of developing countries,but compared with the traditional trade mode,this kind of difference is much smaller.