尤尔基于社会统计的实证研究及其影响

Yule's Empirical Study on Social Statistics and Its Influence

立足于尤尔和英国皇家统计学会的深层渊源关系以及尤尔一生的研究方向,明确尤尔从事社会统计研究的特点;重点剖析尤尔基于实证分析技术研究贫穷问题的思路和过程;展现尤尔开启现代时间序列分析学科起源的历程;概述尤尔对社会统计学研究的学术影响,并肯定其在定量社会科学领域的先锋地位。

Basing on the close relationship between Yule and Royal Statistical Society,and Yule's research area in his whole life,the paper clearly points that Yule was in social statistics.It especially reveals the thinking and process of Yule's analysis of pauperism,which was established in the technology of empirical study.The paper further shows for Yule how to build the origin of time series analysis.Last,it summarizes Yule's academic influence on social statistics and affirms Yule's vanguard position in social sciences.