中国对一带一路沿线投资的风险和导向

Country Risk and Investment Zone Orientation along the “the Belt and Road”

本文研究"一带一路"沿线投资的国家风险,构建可观测指标评分法的国家风险评估体系,并对"一带一路"国家样本进行风险评估。通过对比对外投资的流量、存量与国家风险,发现中国企业选择低风险国家进行投资具有普遍性,而选择高风险国家进行投资则具有特殊意义,比如资源因素驱动。针对不同类型不同风险的国家,本文给出了相应的策略建议。

This paper studies the national risk of investment along the“the Belt and Road”,constructs the country risk assessment system of the observable index score method and evaluates“the Belt and Road”country samples.By comparing the FDI flow and stock with the country risk stores,we find that it is common for Chinese companies to invest low-risk countries,while maybe special significance to invest to high-risk countries.The paper also gives corresponding investment tips according to the risk scores.