丝绸之路经济带物流产业集聚对区域经济的影响分析

The Economic Influence Of The Urban Logistics Industry In The Silk Road Economic Belt

文中以丝绸之路经济带沿线城市1998—2014年11个省市数据为基础,通过对物流业增加值占比GDP增加值的计算,和对物流产业集聚度的计算,最终得出的结果表明,丝绸之路经济带沿线各省市物流产业集聚程度均不高。然后应用面板数据建模,阐明丝绸之路经济带沿线省市的物流产业积聚对地域经济的影响。研究的成果表明,每增添1%的物流产业集聚系数,区域经济GDP则增加441%,说明物流产业的积聚度对区域经济增长具有必然的促进作用。因此,应该加快物流产业与其他产业的联动,推动地区经济的转型升级。

Based on the Silk Road economic beltcity of 11 provinces since 1998 to 2014 cities data as the foundation,according to calculate the proportionof logistics industry added value and the added value of GDP,and the calculation of the logistics industrial agglomeration degree,finally the result shows that the silk road economic belt cities logistics industrial concentration degree is not high.Then,the application panel data modeling is used to illustrate the influence of the accumulation of logistics industry in the provinces and cities along the silk road economic belt on the regional economy.The results of the study show that,with a 1%increase in the logistics industry concentration factor,the regional economic GDP increases by 441%,indicating that the accumulation degree of the logistics industry plays an inevitable role in promoting regional economic growth.Therefore,we should accelerate the linkage between logistics industry and other industries and promote the transformation and upgrading of regional economy.