新疆物流业发展水平测度及其对新型城镇化带动作用研究

Study on the Development Level of Logistics Industry in Xinjiang and its Driving Effect on New Urbanization

选取新疆2000-2015年的时间序列数据,运用变异系数法、最小二乘、协整检验和格兰杰因果检验等计量分析,对新疆物流业的发展水平及其对新型城镇化进程中的带动作用进行了研究。结果表明,新疆物流业水平发展迅速,且对新型城镇化有显著的推动作用和存在长期的均衡关系,但两者的联动性不足。从人口城镇化、经济城镇化、社会城镇化和生态城镇化的维度出发,探究了物流业对新型城镇化的影响,并结合新疆实际,提出促进新型城镇化的发展路径。

Based on the variation coefficient method,the least squares,co-integration test and granger causality test and other econometric analysis,this article selects 2000-2015 time series data of Xinjiang and studies the development level of logistics industry in Xinjiang and its leading role in new urbanization,which shows the following statements:the level of the logistics industry has developed rapidly in Xinjiang,and the new urbanization has a significant role and exists a longterm equilibrium relationship,but the lack of correlation between them.This article,from views of the economic urbaniza?tion,population urbanization,the social dimension of the urbanization and the ecological urbanization,explores the logis?tics industry to the influence of the new type of urbanization,and combining the reality of Xinjiang,then,puts forward to a route of promoting the development of new type of urbanization.