牧草产品进口价格及进口量预测——以苜蓿草为例

Forage products price and import volume forecast——take alfalfa as an example

目前国内牧草种植的产量和质量均不能满足国内畜牧业需求,进口优质牧草成为解决需求的一个重要途径。进口价格和进口量变动会影响国内进口企业以及使用企业的相关决策,影响国内牧草产业体系的建立。通过使用ARIMA模型,对2008年1月-2016年12月的苜蓿草进口价格以及进口量数据进行预测。

At present,the output and quality of domestic forage cultivation can not meet the needs of domesticanimal husbandry.The import of high quality forage products has become an important way to solve the demand.Changes of import prices and volume will affect the domestic import enterprises and the use of business-related decision-making,affecting the establishment of the domestic forage industry system.Using the ARIMA model,the import price and import data of alfalfa grass from January 2008 to December 2016 were predicted.