基于Gompertz模型的西安市电动汽车保有量的预测研究

Research on Prediction of Electric Vehicle Quantities in Xi'an Based on Gompertz Model

随着环境污染的不断加剧,汽车工业的发展也遇到前所未有的机遇与挑战。从环保与电动汽车发展的角度出发,以经济高速发展的为契机,研究西安市电动汽车保有量增长问题,利用Gompertz曲线模型预测西安市汽车保有量在未来几十年内的发展趋势,以此为基础实现电动汽车充电桩的布设,以确定充电网络的构建能够适应发展的需求。

With the continuous intensification of environmental pollution,the development of the automotive industry has also encountered unprecedented opportunities and challenges.From the perspective of environmental protection and the development of electric vehicles,this study takes the rapid economic development as an opportunity to study the growth of electric vehicle ownership in Xi’an and uses the Gompertz curve model to predict the development trend of Xi’an’s vehicle ownership in the coming decades.This is based on the realization of the deployment of electric vehicle charging piles to determine the construction of the charging network can meet the development needs.