可持续发展理念下人口规模、工业经济发展与水污染的关系研究

The Relationship Between Population Size, Industrial Economy and Water Pollution Under the Idea of Sustainable Development

利用官方统计数据和省际面板回归模型,对2005—2015年中国东部、中部和西部地区废、污水排放量的主要影响因素——人口规模和工业经济增长进行回归分析,同时引入城镇化、污水治理投资和工业企业技术创新3个主要控制变量。研究结果表明,从全国范围来看,人口规模不断扩大始终是造成水污染的主要因素,工业经济发展对水污染的正向作用在一定程度上被工业企业技术创新减缓。从区域范围来看,人口规模和工业经济增长对水污染造成的影响具有较大的区域差异。最后,基于可持续发展战略提出了防治水污染的建议。

By adopting Chinese official statistics and interprovincial regression model,as well as using the urbanization,sewage treatment investment and industrial enterprises technological innovation as 3 main controlled variables,the 2 major influence factors of the sewage emission in the east,middle and west regions of China from 2005 to 2015:population size and industrial economic growth,were regressed.The results showed that,from the nationwide scope,population size was always one of major contributors for the amount of water pollution,and the positive association between industrial economic development and water pollution could be relieved by industrial enterprises technological innovation to a certain extent.And from a regional scope,the impact of population size or industrial economic growth on water pollution had a large regional difference.Finally,based on the requirement of the sustainable development strategy,the suggestions for prevention and control of water pollution were put forward.