基于实证数学规划方法PMP模型的种植结构预测——以河南省冬小麦、油菜作物体系为例

Cropping Structure Forecast Based on the Positive Mathematical Programming

国内一些研究者在利用实证数学规划模型分析农民生产行为时,常遇到实证数学规划模型原理的理解困难.文章对实证数学规划模型的原理进行了阐明,并利用该模型对河南省冬小麦、油菜作物体系的种植结构进行了预测,凸显其应用价值.

Difficulties often arise in understanding economic principle of PMP when domestic researchers use the positive mathematical programming(PMP)model to analyze farmers’planting pattern.This article forecasts the cropping structure of winter wheat and rape in Henan province after a detailed explanation of the model to highlight its practical value.