独联体集体安全条约组织对外功能弱化的原因分析

Analysis of the Reasons for the Weakening on External Function of CSTO

独联体集体安全条约组织是俄罗斯在独联体范围内维护地区安全与稳定的重要力量。总体来看,集安组织的功能可以大致划分为对内和对外两个方面。在其对外功能中,集安组织有明显防范和对抗北约的意图。近年来,集安组织内部凝聚力有所下降,加之部分成员国与西方之间的合作不断加强,导致集安组织对抗北约的功能呈现不断弱化的趋势。乌克兰危机的爆发加快了乌克兰靠近北约的步伐,考虑到乌克兰危机中各方表态以及集安组织成员国与乌克兰的关系,集安组织其他成员国与俄罗斯共同对抗乌克兰的可能性很小。这意味着集安组织对抗北约的功能在相当程度上丧失。但该地区的安全形势依然十分严峻,这将促使集安组织在反恐、反极端主义等方面加强合作。

Generally speaking,the function of the Collective Security Treaty Organization(CSTO)of CIS can be broadly divided into internal and external aspects.Externally,the CSTO has been the obvious intention of preventing from and fighting against NATO.In recent years,cohesion of the CSTO was declining and some members have been strengthening cooperation with the West,which was weakening on external function of the CSTO.Ukrainian crisis accelerated the pace of Ukraine approaching to NATO.The attitudes of CSTO’s members towards the Ukrainian crisis made us believe in it wouldn’t be confrontation between Ukraine and the CSTO’s members,excluding Russia.It means that the CSTO’s external function has weakened in a great extent,However,serious region’s security situation encourages the CSTO to cooperate on anti-terrorism.