我国交通运输对服务业发展的影响

The Impact of China's Transportation on the Development of Service Industry

基于1998—2013年我国30个省市的面板数据的分析发现,运用面板协整理论,分析了东部、中部和西部的交通运输水平与服务业发展水平之间相互作用的机制。实证检验结果显示,交通运输水平和服务业发展水平均为一阶单整变量,它们存在稳定的协整关系。具体就东部地区而言,交通运输水平对服务业发展水平有着长期促进的作用,而中西部影响较小。这一现象的形成与我国各地区产业分布不均衡、交通运输业的空间溢出效应等因素有关。

Based on the panel data of 30 provinces and cities in China from 1998 to 2013,it is found that the mechanism of interaction between transportation level and service level in eastern,central and western regions is analyzed by panel cointegration theory.The results of empirical tests show that the level of transportation and the level of service development are first-order monotone variables,and they have stable cointegrated relations.Specifically,in terms of the eastern region,the level of transport has a long-term effect on the development of the service industry,while the central and western regions have less impact.The formation of this phenomenon is closely related to the uneven distribution of industries,the spillover effect of transportation and other factors in China.