中国车用能源需求和关键材料资源可获性分析

Analysis on Vehicle Energy Demand and Key Mineral Resource Availability for Vehicle Production in China

随着中国汽车产销量和保有量的迅速增长,车用能源和资源成为汽车强国战略中的一个重要问题。本研究基于清华大学中国车用能源研究中心所开发的中国汽车保有量预测模型,对未来汽车规模进行预测,对车用能源和资源的利用现状、技术发展水平、发展趋势等进行研究,并提出相应政策建议。研究结果表明,中国汽车保有量将持续增长,车用燃料供需矛盾将进一步凸显,汽车材料所需矿产资源储备、产品性能和技术水平有待提升。建议出台相关政策,提前布局,积极应对未来汽车工业面临的能源和资源方面的挑战。

With the rapid growth in vehicle production,sales,and ownership,vehicle energy and key mineral resources for vehicle manufacture have become an important issue in China.This study predicts future vehicle ownership and analyzes the current situation in terms of utilization,technical development level,and development trend of vehicle energy and key mineral resources in China,by employing the Chinese vehicle ownership prediction model developed by the China Automotive Energy Research Center of Tsinghua University.The results indicate that China’s vehicle ownership will continue to grow and the contradiction between the supply and demand of vehicle energy will be further highlighted.The mineral resource reserves,product performance,and technological level of vehicle materials in China need to be improved.Relevant policies are suggested to cope with the aforementioned challenges.