国际粮食价格波动对我国粮食供需平衡的影响探究

Exploration of the Impact of International Grain Price Wave on Grain Supply and Demand Balance of China

粮食价格机制反映了粮食价格与粮食生产各要素、各环节之间相互作用与制约的关系。在国内外粮食市场联系日益紧密的情况下,国际粮食价格波动会通过粮食进出口渠道传导至国内,进而对我国粮食供需平衡产生影响。从过去几年的实际情况来看,这种影响正在不断扩大,对我国粮食安全产生了威胁。应采取保障粮食供给能力与数量、建立更加完善的粮食储备制度、建立国际粮食价格监测预警机制、基于共赢价格保持粮食市场供需稳定等措施,确保我国粮食市场供需平衡,保障国家粮食安全。

Grain price mechanism reflects the mutual effect and restriction relationship among grain price,grain production factors and sections.Under the situation of increasingly close link of domestic and foreign grain market,the international grain price wave will transfer from grain import and export channel to domestic market and affect the grain supply and demand balance.From the practical situation in last few years,this kind of impact is increasing,which generated a threaten to China grain security.We should adopt measures of guaranteeing grain supply capacity and quantity,establishing more improved grain storage system,building international grain price monitoring pre-warning mechanism and maintaining stable grain market supple and demand based on win-win price to ensure the supple and demand balance in China grain market and guarantee national grain security.