俄罗斯经济:稳定导向的反危机政策与后危机走势

Russia's Economy: the Stability-oriented Policy against the Crisis and Postcrisis trend

世界经济处于结构性危机之中,其实质是一场社会经济危机和政治认同危机,也是一场全面深刻的转型。2017年世界经济出现了一些新变化,这些变化预示着未来可能出现新的趋势和挑战。俄罗斯经济发展有其自身特点,当前的危机是多种因素叠加的结果。近年俄罗斯的经济危机是资源租模式所造成的"被延迟了的危机"。在危机背景下,俄罗斯政府并未采取具有民粹主义倾向的经济政策,而是在保证宏观经济、金融、财政、就业和进出口稳定性等方面采取了一系列措施,尤其是继续控制财政支出,使通货膨胀率明显下降。当前俄罗斯面临着巩固经济增长趋势,实现经济社会发展既定目标的任务。下一阶段的目标是实现高于世界平均水平的经济增长速度,并确保福利水平不断提高。

The world economy is experiencing a structural crisis,of which the essence is a crisis of social economy and political identity as well as a comprehensive and in-depth transition.Some new changes took place in 2017 and those changes indicate the potential trend and challenges of the world economy.Russia’s economy has its own idiosyncrasy and its current crisis is due to the addition of various factors.To deal with the crisis,the Russian government did not adopt populist policies.Rather,it took a lot of measures to guarantee the stability of macro economy,finance,employment and trade,especially in the control of fiscal expenditure and decrease of inflation.The current task of Russia’s economy is to maintain the economic growth and fulfill the stated goals of social-economic development and the task in next stage is to make the growth rate higher than the world average and ensure the improvement of social welfare.