农业现代化、新型工业化、城镇化协调发展探析——基于贵州九个地州市的面板数据

Study on the coordinated development of industrialization,urbanization and agricultural modernization——Analysis on panel data of nine cities in Guizhou province

新型城镇化、新型工业化、农业现代化是社会发展进程的主要方面,也是贵州脱贫攻坚,后发赶超的主要抓手,文章通过测算贵州2006-2014年全省九个地州市"三化"耦合协调度发现,除了贵阳的"三化"协调发展达到优良外,其余各地区大都是勉强协调程度。通过"三化"互动关系研究(个体固定效应面板模型),发现城镇化对农业化和工业化的影响效应大于工业化和农业化对城镇化的影响,工业化与农业化之间没有形成明显良性互动效应。

Urbanization,industrialization and agricultural modernization are the main aspects of social development,which are main measures of Guizhou province to fight poverty and catch up with other provinces.By studying the coordinated development level of urbanization,industrialization and agricultural modernization of nine cities in Guizhou province from 2006 to 2014,we find that except for Guiyang,whose coordinated development level is comparatively high,other regions’development barely coordinated.It canbe concluded from individual fixed effect panel model that the effect of urbanization on agricultural modernization and industrialization is greater than the effect of agricultural modernization and industrialization on urbanization.The interactive effect between agricultural modernization and industrialization is not obvious.