安徽省城镇化与城乡收入差距对居民消费的影响——基于VAR模型的实证分析

The Influence of Urbanization and Urban-rural Income Gap on Residents' Consumption in Anhui Province: the Empirical Analysis based on VAR Model

在立足于已有研究成果的基础上,利用安徽省1997-2016年间的相关数据,通过构建VAR模型,对安徽省城镇化发展与城乡收入差距变动对全省居民消费水平的影响进行实证分析。结果表明:安徽省城镇化发展与全省居民消费水平呈正相关关系,城镇化的继续发展,需要在合理控制城乡收入差距的同时,加快城镇化的质量发展,从而实现扩大内需,提高全省居民的消费水平。

Based on the research results and the data from 1997 to 2016 in Anhui Province by means of the VAR model,the study analyzes empirically the influence of urbanization development and changes in the income gap between urban and rural areas on residents'consumption level.The results show that the development of urbanization and the provincial residents consumption level was positively related to relationship.In order to develop the urbanization unceasingly,the government should reasonably control the income gap between urban and rural areas.Meanwhile,the government should speed up the quality development of urbanization,so as to realize expanding domestic demand and raise the consumption level of residents.