农村劳动力流动缩小城乡收入差距的可行性研究

Study on the Feasibility of Narrowing Urban-Rural Income Gap by Rural Labor Mobility

文章首先通过选取合适的测度指标分析并比较了历年我国农村劳动力流动规模与城乡收入差距的变动情况,发现两者呈现相伴扩大的趋势;然后采用JJ协整检验和VECM模型实证检验了农村劳动力流动对城乡收入差距的长期和短期影响,发现农村劳动力流动目前确实扩大了城乡收入差距,但这种作用在逐步减弱;最后通过劳动力就业对城、乡居民各自人均收入增长的贡献度的测算和比较等做进一步分析,发现目前城乡两地区存在的现实情况为农村劳动力流动缩小城乡收入差距创造了条件,因此农村劳动力流动在长远内仍然可以有效发挥缩小我国城乡收入差距的作用,并联系实际情况对结论进行了分析解释。

Firstly,through the analysis and comparison of the changes in China's rural labor mobility scale and urban-rural income gap with selected appropriate indicators,this paper found that the two was accompanied by the trend of expansion;Then using JJ cointegration test and VECM model to analyze the impact of rural labor mobility on urban-rural income gap in long-term and short-term,we found that the urban-rural income gap was expanded by the rural labor mobility indeedly at present,but this effect gradually weakened;Finally through the calculation and comparison of the contribution of urban and rural residents employment on respective per capita income for further analysis,we found that the conditions for rural labor mobility to narrow urban-rural income gap was created by the reality of urban and rural areas at present,so the urban-rural income gap could be still effectively narrowed by the rural labor mobility in the long term in China,and the conclusion was explained in connection with the actual situation.