美国对华政策调整与中美关系的三大风险

The U.S. Policy Adjustment towards China and Three Major Risks in China-U.S. Relations

中美贸易战拉开了中美关系转型的序幕,凸显两国之间矛盾不仅仅是利益之争,更是战略之争。中美关系首次面临"压舱石"失效甚至缺失的严峻挑战,未来能否"斗而不破",很大程度上取决于双方能否超越三个相互关联又各不相同的陷阱。中美关系转型从深层次上折射出逆全球化风潮、民粹主义思潮和多极化政治不稳定等世界发展趋势,其走向也将直接影响世界未来发展。中美竞争中对中国不利的因素正在增多,如何稳妥驾驭双边关系,维护国家发展重要战略机遇期,将是新时代中国特色大国外交面临的最大考验。

The China-U.S.trade war unveils a restructuring in the China-U.S.relations,highlighting a conflict not only of interests but also of strategies between the two countries.The China-U.S.relations are confronted with a harsh challenge of ineffectiveness and even absence of“ballast stones”for the first time,and whether the two countries would be able to“compete without breakdown”in the future primarily depends upon the possibility of avoiding three different but inter-related traps.The restructuring in the China-U.S.relations reflects an underlying trend of counterglobalization,rising populism and political instability in an increasingly multi-polarized world,and its trajectory would directly influence the future development in the world.China is facing mounting unfavorable factors compared to that of the U.S.,so how to properly manage the bilateral relations and safeguard the important period of strategic opportunity for national development will become the biggest test for major-country diplomacy with Chinese characteristics in the new era.