中东阿拉伯国家人口治理失范的政治经济表现

The Impact of Population Governance Anomie on the Politics and Economy in the Arab Nation-states of the Middle East

人口治理是中东阿拉伯国家治理体系的重要组成部分。受宗教文化制约,人口增速超高,人口再生产模式尚未完成现代化转换,在非同质化的人口治理背景下,阿拉伯各国政府的人口治理政策非但未能转变不利的人口治理背景,反而造成了人口治理的失范现象,给政治与经济的发展带来了不利影响。在政治方面,青年人口膨胀、移民群体与教派族群变动对阿拉伯国家的政治演进形成冲击。就经济而言,人力资源的矛盾、人口空间结构的矛盾、人口与自然资源的矛盾等,都对各国的经济发展造成了极大的负面影响。当前,中东阿拉伯国家的人口治理问题已经凝结成一种体系性矛盾。为应对人口治理失范,阿拉伯国家需要抑制超高人口增速,尽快提升人口素质,切实引导社会人口观念由传统向现代转型。

Population governance is an important part of the governance system of Arab countries in the Middle East.In the overarching context of religious and cultural constraints,high growth rate,traditional model of population reproduction and non.homogeneous backgrounds,the population governance policies of the Arab governments have failed to change their unfavorable situations.Instead,these failed policies have resulted in the phenomenon of population governance anomie,imposing an adverse effect on politics and economy.On the political front,the rise of youth population,new immigrants,and changes in sectarian.ethnic groups have negatively impacted the political stability in the Arab countries.On the economic front,human resources problems,imbalance of population spatial structure,and conflicts between population and natural resources have all exerted a tremendous negative influence on their economic development.At present,the population governance anomie in the Arab nation-states of the Middle East has become a complex problem.The governments of Arab countries urgently need to restrain their high population growth,improve quality of the population,and guide the transformation of the social conceptualization of population growth from the traditional to the modern model,in order to cope with the issue of population governance anomie.