中国与维谢格拉德集团农产品产业内贸易影响因素分析

Influencing factors of intra-industry trade of agricultural products between China and Visegrad Group

文章首先分析了中国与维谢格拉德集团农产品的贸易现状及结构特点,其次运用GL指数对双边农产品产业内贸易水平进行测算,最后利用联合国商品贸易统计数据库SITC Rev.3下中国与维谢格拉德集团2000—2016年农产品贸易数据,构建双向固定面板数据回归模型对产业内贸易影响因素展开实证分析。结果表明,中国与维谢格拉德集团农产品产业内贸易趋势愈发明显;各分类农产品产业内贸易水平国别及品种差异性显著。此外,平均市场规模、贸易不平衡显著阻碍双边农产品产业内贸易水平提升;人均收入差异、贸易开放度、贸易竞争力和生产技术水平差异对农产品产业内贸易影响的作用方向不同,模型回归不显著。

The article firstly analyzes the trade status and structural characteristics of agricultural products between China and theVisegrad Group.Secondly,use the Grubel-Lloyd index to measure the intra-industry trade level of agricultural products between China and the Visegrad Group.Finally,take the UN commodity trade statistics SITC REV.3 China and the Visegrad Group's agricultural trade data for the period 2000-2016 and construct bi-directional fixed panel data regression model to conduct empirical analysis on the influencing factors of intra-industry trade.The results of the study indicate that the intra-industry trade trends of agricultural products between China and the Visegrad Group have become increasingly obvious;the intra-industry trade levels of various categories of agricultural products vary significantly between countries and varieties.In addition,the average market size and trade imbalance significantly hinder the improvement of the intra-industry trade level of bilateral agricultural products.Differences in per capita income,trade openness,trade competitiveness,and differences in production technology have diverse effects on the intra-industry trade of agricultural products,and the regression of models is not significant.