中美体育用品贸易的竞争性、互补性及增长潜力的实证分析

An Empirical Analysis of Competitiveness, Complementary, and Growth Potential of the Sporting Goods Trade between China and the United State

依据UN Comtrade数据库中的HS编码下的HS420类、HS640类、HS9504类、HS9506类、HS9507类、HS8类等6大类体育用品数据,运用实证研究方法,测度了1997—2016年间中美两国体育用品的贸易互补性、竞争性和增长潜力。研究表明:中美两国在体育用品贸易中存在较强的互补性;中国体育用品的出口与美国体育用品的进口互补性较强,而美国体育用品的出口与中国体育用品的进口互补性较弱,且在各分项类别上差异较大;中国与美国体育用品在世界市场上的相似度较低,两国体育用品在世界市场上的竞争程度较弱,且在分类项目上两国的体育用品出口的市场结构差异较大;中国与美国体育用品贸易紧密程度较大,未来两国的体育用品双边贸易潜力巨大。

Based on the data of six categories of sports supplies,including HS420,HS640,HS9504,HS9506,HS9507 and HS8,etc.under the HS code in the UN Comtrade database,this paper used the empirical research method to measure the trade complementarity,competitiveness and growth potential of sports supplies between China and the United States from 1997 to 2016.The research shows that China and the United States have strong complementarities in sports goods trade.The export of Chinese sporting goods and the import of American sporting goods are highly complementary,while the export of American sporting goods and the import of Chinese sporting goods are relatively weak,and there is a big difference in each category.The similarity between Chinese and American sporting goods in the world market is relatively low,the competitiveness of the two countries'sporting goods in the world market is relatively weak,and the market structure of the export of sporting goods in the two countries is relatively large in terms of classification.China and the United States are close to each other in sports goods trade,and bilateral trade in sporting goods between the two countries has huge potential in the future.