特朗普的个性特质对美国对华政策的影响分析

President Trump's Personality and Its Impact on American Policy toward China

作为美国国家领导人,特朗普的个性特质包括不羁善变、精干有为、逐利自我、好胜执着和积极外向等。特朗普的个性特质对美国对华政策的影响是非决定性的,关键在于他的政策偏好与美国对华战略反思共识的匹配。受特朗普总统个性特质的影响,特朗普的对华政策团队具有"小圈子决策"和随意性等特征,从而使特朗普政府执政初期的对华政策具有不稳定性和不成熟性,体现了特朗普注重交易的商人思维和在对华政策总体上呈现的两面性和极端性。中国在应对特朗普政府的对华政策时,应重视美国对华政策的随意性和突发性,保持战略定力,恪守底线思维,警惕特朗普所做的一些战略承诺的随意性和虚假性。在总体上,应保持积极的交往和沟通,保持战略谨慎的解决问题的方式,这有助于在现阶段的中美战略竞争中获得优势,维护中国的核心利益。

President Trump s personality traits include narcissism,ignorance,self-indulgence,shrewdness,extroversion,and unpredictability.Generally speaking,President Trump s personality traits should not be a decisive factor when evaluating American foreign policy,however,his China policy preferences match American newly developed strategic consensus on China policy.Affected by President Trump s personality,his China policy is made by a small group,subject to frequent and even random adjustments.Consequently,American policy toward China under Trump Administration is not very consistent,and it will take some time for President Trump and his team to develop a long lasting policy.President Trump s deal making approach has made American policy toward China in the past one and a half years two sided and extreme.When China deals with Trump Administration and responds to American policy,China may need to take these characteristics into consideration,and be prepared for any sudden change.While China should stick to the bottom line,China should also be vigilant of the randomness,aggressiveness,and credibility of American policy.Overall proactiveness and communication is required in handling the disputes between two sides,and strategic prudence and cautiousness may be of great help for China to protect its core interests.