谁是中国网络社会抗议的主要行动者?——基于新浪微博平台的分析

Who is the Online Social Protestor in China?——An Analysis Based on Sina Weibo Survey

[目的/意义]考察中国网络社会抗议的主要行动者有哪些?并回应施洛兹曼等关于互联网是"强者的武器"的论断。[方法/过程]从2017年"携程事件"出发,首先根据网上冲浪技能和网络影响力来对"强者"作出假定。其次基于1800名微博用户的抽样调查数据,运用潜类别分析(LCA)方法划分网络社会抗议行动者类型。最后采用多项logistic回归分析作为"强者"指标的个人背景特征变量与行动者类型间的关系。[结果/结论]数据结果表明,存在4类网络社会抗议行动者:抗议倡导者、个体化指向明确的抗议者、抗议响应和扩散者、不抗议者。网络社会抗议行动者主要由"强者"构成,并且现实生活中的强者依然扮演着网络社会"强者"和抗议主角的角色。此外,现实生活感受不幸福也是推动网民网络社会抗议的重要因素。

[Purpose/Significance]It is necessary to examine a question from'Ctrip'event,Who is the online social protestor in China?Schlozman showed that the internet has turned out to be'a weapon of the strong'.This article gives a respond to this judgment.[Method/Process]First,we hypothesized online strong person by network skill and influence.Second,we conducted a latent class analysis to make sure protestor type with 1800 Sina Weibo netizens samples.Third,we conducted multinomial logistic regression analysis to test the hypothesizes.[Result/Conclusion]Based on data analysis,there exist four actor types,initiator,individualism for specific objectors,follower and diffuser,and no protest online.We found that"stronger"is composed of the online social protestor,the stronger in real life is still"stronger"in online society and works as the main force of online protestors.In addition,low life satisfaction is an important fact that pushes forward them to participate in online social protest.