中国与波兰农产品贸易特征及竞争性与互补性分析

Analysis on the Characteristics, Competitiveness and Complementarity of Agricultural Products Trade between China and Poland

采用1992-2016年联合国商品贸易统计数据库中SITC(Rev.3)中国与波兰农产品贸易数据,在梳理中国与波兰农产品贸易现状和结构特征的基础上,进一步利用显示性比较优势指数、贸易互补性指数和贸易强度指数,从贸易竞争性、互补性和增长潜力三方面对中国与波兰农产品贸易展开较为全面与细致的分析。研究表明:两国具有比较竞争优势的农产品品类不重叠,双方农产品在国际市场上竞争性较弱而互补性较强;生皮及皮革和鱼及鱼制品是双方互补性最强的品类;但从世界农产品贸易来看,中波农产品贸易强度较小,互补性相对较差,贸易关系不太紧密。

This paper used the SITC(Rev.3)China-Poland agricultural product trade data from 1992 to 2016 UN Commodity Trade Statistics database.On the basis of combing the trade status and structural characteristics of agricultural trade between China and Poland,it further used revealed comparative advantage index,trade complementarity index and trade intensity index.From the three aspects of trade competitiveness,complementarity and growth potential,this paper made a comprehensive and detailed analysis of the agricultural trade between China and Poland.The research showed that the agricultural products of China and Poland with relatively competitive advantages so different that the agricultural products of both sides were less competitive and more complementary in the international market.The rawhides,leather,fish and fish products were the most complementary categories.However,from the point of view of the world's agricultural trade,the intensity of trade in agricultural products between China and Poland was relatively small,complementarity was relatively poor,and trade relations were less tight.