21世纪海上丝绸之路物流绩效对中国机电产品出口的影响

The Influences of Logistics Performance of 21st Century Maritime Silk Road on the Export of Chinese Mechanical and Electrical Products

文章建立拓展贸易引力模型,实证分析21世纪海上丝绸之路物流绩效及其分项指标对中国机电产品出口的影响;并进一步将低等收入国家作为重点探究对象,分析其物流绩效及分项指标的影响作用。研究结果表明:沿线各国的物流绩效及其分项指标对中国机电产品出口均存在显著正向作用,但影响程度不一,以物流服务质量与能力居首;低等收入国家的物流绩效及其分项指标在所有的回归模型中影响作用均为最大,尤其是物流服务质量与能力及物流基础设施质量。针对实证结果,文章提出了针对性的政策建议。

This paper establishes the expanding model of trade gravity to empirically analyzes the influences of logistics performance and its sub-indexes of 21st Century Maritime Silk Road on the export of Chinese mechanical and electronic products;Furthermore,the paper focuses on the low-income countries,and analyzes the influences of logistics performance and its sub-indexes.The study results show that:The logistics performance and its sub-indexes of countries along the routes have significant positive influences on the export of Chinese mechanical and electrical products,but the degree of influence varies,in which the quality and the capability of logistics service have the biggest influence.The logistics performance and its sub-indexes of low-income countries have the greatest impact in all regression models,especially in the quality and the capability of logistics service and the quality of logistics infrastructure.According to the empirical results,the paper puts forward some specific suggestions.