我国服务业发展指数测度与空间收敛性分析

Study on the Development Index and Spatial Convergence of Service Industry in China

研究目标:我国服务业发展的区域差异及收敛性。研究方法:运用2006～2016年我国30个省份的面板数据,构建服务业发展指数模型,然后建立空间计量模型考察服务业收敛性。研究发现:我国服务业发展水平总体呈上升趋势,但也存在较大区域差异;我国服务业并没有呈现显著的σ收敛,但绝对β收敛和条件β收敛显著。研究创新:运用服务业发展指数这一综合指标进行收敛性分析,并采用空间自回归模型(SAR)和空间误差模型(SEM),将空间因素对收敛性的影响考虑在内。研究价值:有利于缩小区域服务业发展差异,实现经济均衡发展。

Research Objectives:This paper is to discover the regional differences and convergence of service industries in China.Research Methods:Using the panel data of 30 provinces in China during 2006~2016,this paper builds service development index model,and then establishes spatial econometric model to examine the spatial convergence of service industries in each province.Research Findings:The development level of China s service industry is generally on the rise,but the regional differences is increasing.Although there is no significantσconvergence in China s service industry,there exits significantly absolute and conditionalβconvergence.Research Innovations:This paper uses the comprehensive index of the service industry development index for spatial convergence analysis,and uses spatial autoregressive(SAR)and spatial error model(SEM),takes into account the influence of spatial factors on convergence.Research Value:It will narrow the differences in regional service industry development and ultimately achieve balanced economic development.