果农发展生态养殖的意愿及影响因素实证研究

Empirical Study on Orchard Ecological Farming Willingness and its Influencing Factors

畜禽粪污污染已逐渐成为中国农业污染的重要来源,为了积极响应十九大关于生态文明建设的号召,大力发展绿色畜牧业,新疆生产建设兵团提出了"果畜一体化"发展模式。文章根据对兵团第一师316户果农的调查数据,运用Logistic模型对果农发展生态养殖意愿及影响因素进行实证分析。结果表明,劳动力、果树种植年限、预期收益变化认知、出售难易程度、政策或补贴4个变量与果农发展养殖意愿呈正相关;性别及贷款难易程度与果农养殖意愿呈负相关,女性养殖意愿更强,贷款越难,养殖意愿更强。在此基础上提出相关建议,以期提高果农发展果园生态养殖业的意愿。

Livestock manure pollution has gradually become an important source of agricultural pollution in China.In order to respond actively to the call of 19th CPC National Congress about ecological civilization construction and to develop green animal husbandry vigorously,the XinJiang Production and Construction Corps has put forward a development mode of integrating fruit and livestock.The paper used the Logistic model to conduct empirical study and analysis on fruit farmers willingness for developing ecological farming and its influential factors based on the survey data of 316 fruit farmers in the First Division of XinJiang Production and Construction Corps.The results showed that a variety of factors affected the willingness,among which the four variables as labour,planting years,prospective earnings changes,complexity of sales,policy or subsidy had positive effects on the willingness of ecological farming,while the gender and loan had a negative effect.Based on this,this paper put forward some useful suggestions to improve farmers'willingness to developing orchard ecological farming.