技术密集型制造业经济复杂性——国际比较及影响因素

The Economic Complexity Index of Technology Intensive Manufacturing Industry——International Comparisons and Influencing Factors

本文计算126个国家1996～2016年技术密集型制造业经济复杂性指数,从资源基础观视角研究影响经济复杂性指数的因素。结果表明,中国的指数大幅提升,但总体而言竞争力较弱,处于中等偏上水平,表现出较强的劳动密集型特征,在一些尖端技术行业同发达国家相比还存在巨大差距。实证检验结果显示,提升经济复杂性不能过度依赖自然资源,资本积累、人力资本水平、创新能力对经济复杂性具有促进作用,制度质量是影响经济复杂性的关键环境要素。

This study calculates the ECI of technology intensive manufacturing industry from 126 countries between 1996~2016,then examines the influencing factors of ECI from the perspective of resource-based view.The ECI of China has improved dramatically,but it is in the middle level with overall weak competitiveness,showing strong characteristics of labor intensive;in some cutting-edge technology industry there is still a huge gap between China and developed countries.The empirical result shows that the promotion of ECI cannot over rely on natural resources;capital accumulation,human capital level,innovation ability have positive effects on ECI,and the quality institution is the key environmental factor.