地区电网运行风险量化计算评估与辅助决策技术研究

地区电网在实际运行情况下,发生事故的风险是有一定几率的,这种几率与工作人员对电网运行方式的编排、电网中二次保护设备的投运情况以及设备的维修保养情况都有一定的关系,随着电网结构越来越复杂,广大用户对用电质量的需求越来越高,电网运行风险量化计算评估的方法显得尤为重要,此方法的应用可以帮助工作人员更加直观的找出电网薄弱点,以及不同薄弱点发生事故的几率和级别,还可根据基于人工智能和外挂专家库的最优恢复供电路径算法得出一系列风险防范措施,集成上述功能的自动分析软件可帮助减轻工作人员的工作压力,降低电网故障产生的影响。

In the actual operation of the regional power network,the risk of accidents is a certain probability.This probability is related to the layout of the power grid operation mode,the operation of secondary protection equipment and the maintenance of the equipment.With the power grid structure becoming more and more complex,there is a certain relationship between the probability and the operation of the secondary protection equipment and the maintenance of the equipment.With the increasing demand of users for the quality of electricity,it is particularly important to quantify the risk of power grid operation.The application of this method can help the staff to find out the weakness of the power grid more intuitively.In addition,according to the probability and level of accidents with different vulnerabilities,a series of risk prevention measures can be worked out according to the optimal restoration power supply path algorithm based on artificial intelligence and external store expert database.Integration of the above functions of the automatic analysis software can help to reduce the working pressure of workers and reduce the impact of power grid failures.