反舰导弹区域射击方法研究

Research on area shoot method for anti-ship missile

为进一步发挥反舰导弹(anti-ship missile,ASM)的搜捕优势,结合ASM应用特点,提出ASM的区域射击方法。为使射击方案满足预定捕获概率、预定毁伤概率,并降低所需ASM总数,分别提出满足预定捕获概率的可用瞄准点间隔范围计算方法、对应最优毁伤概率的瞄准点间隔计算方法和ASM数量计算方法。在不同初始条件下,通过数值计算,与统计模拟法的结果和现有方法进行对比。结果表明,该方法具有较高的准确性,能够求解得到满足预定捕获概率与毁伤概率的射击方案;与现有方法相比,优化程度更高,并且可以给出更为完备的射击指挥参数以及射击方案求解流程,能够为ASM的战术应用提供更好的理论与技术支撑。

For further exploiting the search ability of anti-ship missile(ASM),while considering its application characteristics,the area shoot method for(ASM)is presented.To meet both predetermined search probability and kill probability of shoot plan,and minimize the missile amount required,the predetermined catch probability satisfied calculation method for aim point interval,the calculation method for aim point interval of optimal kill probability,and the calculation method for missile quantity required are proposed.The numerical simulations are conducted with different initial conditions,and this method is compared with method of simulation statistics and existing method respectively.The results suggest that this method is qualified with acceptable accuracy,and the shoot plans calculated meet the predetermined catch probability and kill probability.Compared with existing method,this method is further optimized,and the solving procedure for shoot plan and the parameters for command and control are more complete,providing better support both theoretically and technically for tactical application of ASM.